SUCCESSFUL PREDICTION TABLE
Year |
Nobel Prizewinners |
Prize |
Citation for Prediction |
1989 |
J. Michael Bishop, Harold E. Varmus |
Medicine |
Pendlebury, The Scientist, October 2, 1989 |
1990 |
Elias J. Corey |
Chemistry |
Martello, The Scientist, September 17, 1990 |
1991 |
Ronald H. Coase |
Economics |
Garfield, Current Contents, March 12, 1990 |
1992 |
Edwin G. Krebs Gary S. Becker |
Medicine Economics |
Pendlebury, The Scientist, October 2, 1989 Garfield, Current Contents, March 12, 1990 |
1993 |
None |
||
1994 |
Alfred G. Gilman George A. Olah |
Medicine Chemistry |
Pendlebury, The Scientist, October 2, 1989 Martello, The Scientist, September 17, 1990 |
1995 |
Robert E. Lucas |
Economics |
Garfield, Current Contents, March 12, 1990 |
1996 |
None |
||
1997 |
Robert C. Merton* |
Economics |
Garfield, Current Contents, March 12, 1990 (*51st most cited) |
1998 |
John A. Pople
|
Chemistry
|
Martello, The Scientist, September 17, 1990; Pendlebury, Email 1997 Garfield, Current Contents, March 12, 1990 |
1999 |
Ahmed H. Zewail |
Chemistry |
Martello, The Scientist, September 17, 1990; Pendlebury, Email 1997 |
2000 |
Eric R. Kandel Alan J. Heeger |
Medicine Chemistry |
Pendlebury, The Scientist, October 2, 1989 Martello, The Scientist, September 3, 1990 (for Physics) |
2001 |
Ryoji Noyori, K. Barry Sharpless Joseph E. Stiglitz |
Chemistry
|
Pendlebury, Email 1997
|
2002 |
Sydney Brenner Daniel Kahneman |
Medicine Economics |
Pendlebury, The Scientist, October 2, 1989 2002 website |
2003 |
Robert F. Engle, Clive W.J. Granger |
Economics |
Garfield, Current Contents, March 12, 1990 (Granger); 2003 website |
2004 |
David J. Gross, Frank A. Wilczek |
Physics |
Martello, The Scientist, September 3, 1990 |
2005 |
Robert H. Grubbs, Richard R. Schrock |
Chemistry |
Pendlebury, Email 1997 (Schrock); 2005 website (Grubbs) |
| 2006 | Edmund S. Phelps | Economics | Garfield, Current Contents, March 12, 1990 (*34th most cited) |
| 2007 | Mario R. Capecchi, Sir Martin Evans
|
Medicine
|
2006 website
|